“Sharp cooling” to hit in the next five years, says new solar theory.
“If the Sun mainly controls the temperature on Earth, a turning point is almost upon us,” says Dr David Evans. “The reason for the cooling is the dramatic fall in solar radiation that started around 2004.”
There is a delay — probably of around 11 years — between changes in sunlight and temperatures on Earth, says Evans.
Because of that delay, and the sudden drop in solar irradiance about 10 years ago, Evans expects a sharp cooling to hit in the next five years.
Evans provides a graph of solar radiation since 1610, when sunspots were first recorded. The brown line shows solar radiation, which peaks about every 11 years due to the sunspot cycle. The red line is an 11-year smoother.
“There have been three big, steep falls in solar radiation in the last 400 years,” says Evans.
“The first was in the 1600s. It led to the depths of the Little Ice Age, and the Maunder Minimum. This was the coldest period during the last 400 years. There used to be fairs on the ice in the Thames River in London, because it would freeze over for weeks at a time.
“The second fall is around the time of Napoleon and it preceded the second coldest period in the last 400 years, called the Dalton Minimum.
“The third fall occurred recently, starting in about 2004. This recent fall is as big as the fall in Napoleon’s time, almost as large as the fall in the 1600s, and it seems to be steeper than either of those falls. But the temperature hasn’t fallen … yet.
“Around the world a billion dollars a day is invested in renewable energy, largely with the hope of changing the weather,” says the joannenova.com.au website. Given that 20% of the world does not even have access to electricity, history books may marvel at how screwed priorities were, and how bureaucratized science cost so much more than the price of the grants.
And yet, says joannenova, our five-star politicians are preparing only for global warming.”
See entire article HERE.
H/T to Ice Age Now for the story summary.
There are only so many ways this plays out. As some, and very well educated people are still trying to prove that co2 is the main driver of the climate, with a reanalysis of the imaginary second law of thermodynamics. Ok, let’s go out on that limb and say ‘ yes, co2 acts in exactly the way you say it does, then if the projected increase in co2 causes the temperature to rise in relationship, then since the temperature hasn’t risen (since everyone agrees that there has been a ton of new co2 added to the atmosphere), in effect the temperature has already fallen or is falling’. Now if you are going to bring the oceans holding heat into the argument, then how much of a percent of the temperature rise during 1997/98 (acknowledged as the warmest year on record) was due to the ocean releasing heat during an el Niño year and not related to the amount of co2 in the atmosphere? So if the ocean released a lot, then the relationship between co2 and temperature is diminished to the point of insignificant, and if it didn’t then the current theory of the ocean holding heat is invalid since it didn’t matter. There is another matter that might happen: the temperature has remained at higher levels than normal and the oceans have been holding the extra heat and will release it spiking temperatures above the 1997/1998 event. I wish that there were not so many ethical problems with AGW, I could accept one or the other without any problem at all. I don’t know how much of the temperature record has been fixed. My biggest problem, and will be into the foreseeable future, is they cannot explain the LIA or the MWP in relationship to this current period.
Which leads me to conclude that the oceans will spike the temperature when the sun is more active, and depending on the timing and length of a down turn in solar activity, whether the temperature drops more moderately or quickly. There are perhaps more lagging and leading vectors, this is in a word, simplified.
Russ, if ”global” cooling doesn’t happen in 5y; will you start to believe me that: ”the O&N (troposphere) are regulating the overall temp on the planet, not sunspots?
Time is on the side of the truth! Then you will realize that; Santa doesn’t exist…
Cooling is happening now.
Russ, cooling is happening now, where I’m, but not on the WHOLE planet. I’m 12-13 degrees latitude south of the equator, and last night minimum was 12C, I had to get middle of the night out of bed, to look for a blanket, which I haven’t used for almost a year. Now I can’t understand why warmist are scared from planet warming by 1-2C, so that everybody can leave in tropical paradise as me?
In other words: even if cooling, OR warming was happening, nobody would have known, because nobody is monitoring on 99,99999999999% of the planet, b] nobody is monitoring all 1440 minutes in 24h – those minutes don’t go up, or down, same as the hottest minute in 24h, that’s the truth
I wouldn’t say that the couling didn’t happen yet! The thermal flywheel effect of the huge mass of the Ocean is delaying it. But in places where the ice is already there, the inversion of the warming is already happening. Also in the middle of the big Continental masses the cooling is happening. This is the moment to monitor the most Southern Glaciers that were on the vierge of extinction. The Calderone Glacier in Central Italy has already inverted the tendency.
Thanks for the field report. Please keep us posted on the progress of the Southern Glaciers.
The international financiers seem to be getting desperate. They need to convince us into turning our environment into financial instruments that can be seized if we don’t repay the money they pretend to lend us. They need this achieved before the climate reverses in a few years.
If global cooling occurs then we should all ask for a refund of the billions we are being charged.
Record the alarmists details for future litigation.