Researcher Predicts Cooler Climate in Northern Hemisphere From 2015

A Japanese scientist who analyzed ocean temperatures stretching back more than five decades has predicted that the climate in the Northern Hemisphere may enter a cooling period around 2015.

Mototaka Nakamura, a senior scientist at the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, analyzed surface temperatures of the Greenland Sea from 1957 to the present and how they affect climate change.

He said Greenland Sea temperatures could serve as a leading indicator of cooling and warming cycles in North Atlantic waters, which are believed to alternate on about 70-year cycles.

He added that the waters in the Greenland Sea appear to be near the tail end of a warming cycle.

The climate in the Northern Hemisphere had cooled from the 1940s to the 1970s, but began a warming trend in the 1980s.

Nakamura said when predicting climate change, the effects of global warming caused by man-made greenhouse gases also need to be taken into consideration.

His findings were published in a U.S. science journal on June 28.

Details HERE.

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Did That Canary Just Flutter Its Wings?

I would like to hear readers views? Has the Canary had it’s way?

Talking About the Weather

2013 -- the year it happened?The year you’re living in, 2013, may be the year that it happened.

What is it? It is the onset of global cooling. How dare I make such a mental leap? How dare I not would be an equally good question.

According to the Danish Meteorological Institute, 2013 is the first year since 1976 when Arctic temperature readings north of 80 degrees latitude sat below the zero-anomaly line, what some would call “normal,” for more than 50 days straight. Getting close to 60, in fact, according to my highly scientific eyeball reading of DMI’s graph that you can click on yourself. Go ahead, click through the last few decades. Are you seeing what I’m seeing?

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More Unusual Snow Buries Animals

Ice Age Now has these posts:

At least 33,000 sheep and cattle stranded in deep snow

“A massive rescue operation is under way in Otago’s high country (New Zealand),

About 6000 livestock and 25 shepherds stuck in heavy snowfall at Narkanda (India)

Unprecedented and unseasonal snowfall.

As a result of heavy snowfall about 2 thousand sheep died in northern Kyrgyzstan

Headline from June 21, 2013.

This is follows the sheep killed in Ireland and Scotland this Northern Hemisphere winter.   The question is will these deaths continue year after year. Stay Tuned.

Two years to a 1740-type event?

This is an interesting observation that needs more study.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by David Archibald

Wiggle-matching has been used by the best. Hubert Lamb, considered to be the most meticulous climatologist of all time, used wiggle-matching in this wind data graph he published in 1988:

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He had plotted up 600 years of wind data at London, noted a 200 year periodicity and copied the line 200 years to the right to make a forecast.

One of the puzzles of the last 300 years of climate is the temperature drop of 1740. It came out of the blue after a number of warm years in the 1730s. There is nothing in the Be10 record or the volcanic record to suggest a cause.

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Short Growing Season in Minnesota (Updated Jun 14th 2013)

Nearly 3 million acres of Minnesota cropland haven’t been planted this spring, and on many of those acres, it’s now too late.

Weeks of cold, wet, gray weather have kept tractors out of the fields, tormented farmers and nudged grain prices higher. Ten percent of the state’s cornfields have yet to be planted, along with more than one-fourth of the soybean fields, the U.S. Department of Agriculture says.

But the spring weather has not cooperated. Greg Spoden, assistant state climatologist, said the chilly-and-wet pattern has already rewritten parts of the record book.

“It goes all the way back to April, what we would normally think about as the start of the growing season,” Spoden said. “April was very, very cool — I know in some places in the state, it was the coolest April ever.”
In a northern climate like Minnesota, the short growing season is always an issue.

It is just weather this year, but if this continues we should be concerned. Stay tuned.

George asked the question about declining temperatures in MN. Here is a quick look at Morris, which is in the middle of the corn growing belt:

Morris MN AirportBlue is minimum temperature in May, the green is the average temperature in May from 1992 to 2013.  According to NOAA this is the 3rd coldest Spring out of 119 in Minnesota.

EPIC FAIL: 73 CLIMATE MODELS VS. OBSERVATIONS

Courtesy of John Christy, a comparison between 73 CMIP5 models (archived at the KNMI Climate Explorer website) and observations for the tropical bulk tropospheric temperature (aka “MT”) since 1979.

CMIP5-73-models-vs-obs-20N-20S-MThttp://www.thegwpf.org/epic-fail-73-climate-models-vs-observations/

Now, in what universe do the above results not represent an epic failure for the models?  It is time to get back to observing the cooling and see if their is any trend after 2005.

Multiple, Intense, Abrupt Late Pleistocene Warming And Cooling: Implications For Understanding The Cause Of Global Climate Change

These abrupt change are some to think about, but they take place over generational periods. They do not happen over night.

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Dr. Don J. Easterbrook
Dept. of Geology, Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA

The results of oxygen isotope measurements from ice cores in the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets several decades ago stunned the scientific world. Among the surprises from the cores was the recognition of multiple, late Pleistocene, extraordinarily abrupt, intense periods of warming and cooling. The most precise records of late Pleistocene climate changes are the ice cores of the Greenland Ice Sheet Project (GISP) and the Greenland Ice Core Project (GRIP). These cores are especially important because the ages of the ice at various levels in the core have been measured by counting annual layers in the ice, giving a very accurate chronology of climatic fluctuations determined by measurement of annual layers.

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Figure 1. Oxygen isotope fluctuations in the GISP2 Greenland ice core. Red = warm periods, blue = cold periods. Up on the vertical…

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