Should We Be Worried?

Watts Up With That?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I chanced to plot up the lower tropospheric temperatures by broad latitude zones today. This is based on the data from the satellite microwave sounding unit (MSU), as analyzed by the good folks at the University of Alabama at Huntsville. Here are the results, divided into tropical, extratropical, and polar. I’ve divided them at the Arctic and Antarctic Circles at 67° North and South, and at the Tropics of Capricorn and Cancer at 23° N & S.

uah lower troposphere temperature

Figure 1. Satellite-based microwave sounding unit temperatures (red line) from the University of Alabama Huntsville. Blue line shows a loess smooth, span=0.4. Data from KNMI (NCDF file, 17 Mb)

So … is this something to worry about?

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IR Expert Speaks Out After 40 Years Of Silence : “IT’S THE WATER VAPOR STUPID and not the CO2”

It is sad that we have to wait until a scientist retires before we get the truth.

Real Science

Mike Sanicola  says:

I’m a professional infrared astronomer who spent his life trying to observe space through the atmosphere’s back-radiation that the environmental activists claim is caused by CO2 and guess what? In all the bands that are responsible for back radiation in the brightness temperatures (color temperatures) related to earth’s surface temperature (between 9 microns and 13 microns for temps of 220K to 320 K) there is no absorption of radiation by CO2 at all. In all the bands between 9 and 9.5 there is mild absorption by H2O, from 9.5 to 10 microns (300 K) the atmosphere is perfectly clear except around 9.6 is a big ozone band that the warmists never mention for some reason. From 10 to 13 microns there is more absorption by H2O. Starting at 13 we get CO2 absorption but that wavelength corresponds to temperatures below even that of the south pole…

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Continued Cold Puts Food Supply at Risk

One of the consequences of a Grand Minimum coupled with a Little Ice Age is the long term impact on food production. As the cool settles in and the ground freezes food-producing land becomes scarcer, food-growing seasons become shorter, and the world becomes a much more arid and less hospitable place. Food shortages and social unrest has followed previous cold periods and will again.

As I have written before climate change in America’s food basket will be one of the early indicators that the next grand minimum has arrived and the consequences are emanate.

The continental U.S. has been cooling over the last 16 years, at a rate of minus 3.8°F per century rate.

corn belt cooling

The NOAA/NCDC climate record reveals, the breadbasket areas of American have been cooling for a longer period – 17 years. The images below reflect the empirical evidence for the primary U.S. corn growing areas., which is cooling at a minus 4.0°F/century rate.

 

 

Corn belt Map

If this cooling trend were to continue, it would spell disaster for the world’s hungry. Let’s hope ‘the pause’ in global warming does not last much longer as it unfortunately seems to project a cooling regime over the U.S.

 

Here is the February forecast:

cfs_anom_t2m_conus_2014012400_m2

Shocking Polar Vortex From 20,000 Years Ago

I have been thinking about this for a few weeks now when I noted were ices age ice was and were the polars vortex was flowing. Enjoy!

Real Science

20,000 years ago, Kentucky had glaciers while much of Alaska was ice free.

ScreenHunter_256 Jan. 22 16.42

Glacial Geology

Look familiar?

ScreenHunter_257 Jan. 22 17.17

Weather Street: Temperature Forecast Movie

Peter William Lount put this composite together

ShockingPolarVortexFrom20,000YearsAgoVs20140122v001

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Senior meteorologist on extended USA cold blast to last past Groundhog day: ‘WOW F..ing WOW’

Watts Up With That?

Top post for a day or two, new posts will appear below this one.

Normally quiet and reserved WeatherBell senior forecaster Joe D’Aleo (co-founder of the Weather Channel with John Coleman) almost never writes (email subject lines) like this. When he does, it gets my attention. A new forecast shows the cold blast in the eastern half of the USA extending well past Groundhog Day, Feb 2nd, according to their models. WeatherBell has had an excellent track record this winter so far. He says he hasn’t seen anything like it since 1918 when the big flu pandemic hit the USA. Have a look:

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NOAA “state of the climate” report: Contiguous US average temperature plummeted 2.9F in 2013

Watts Up With That?

Hmmm, “the pause” seems to be stronger in the USA. Compare these two years.

NCDC 2012 Overview:

In 2012, the contiguous United States (CONUS) average annual temperature of 55.3°F

NCDC 2013 Overview:

In 2013, the contiguous United States (CONUS) average temperature of 52.4°F

Looks like California is in the minority, mostly due to the extended La Niña pattern:

201301-201312[1]

Of course they are still on about severe weather, no room for “normal” in this scary looking graphic, apparently:

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