Like ‘the pause’ in surface temperatures, ‘the slump’ in solar activity continues

The decline in solar is directly connected to grand minimum cooling.

Watts Up With That?

The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center has updated their monthly graph set and it is becoming even more clear that we are past solar max, and that solar max has been a dud. “The slump” continues not only in sunspot activity, but also other metrics. And, tellingly, Dr. David Hathaway has now aligned his once way too high solar prediction with that of WUWT’s resident solar expert, Dr. Leif Svalgaard. Of course, at this point, I’m not sure “prediction” is the right word for Hathaway’s update.

The SSN count remains low:

Latest Sunspot number prediction

Note the divergence between the model prediction in red, and the actual values.

The 10.7cm radio flux continues slumpy:

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Svensmark’s cosmic ray theory of clouds and global warming looks to be confirmed

The connections between the Sun, Cosmic Rays and the cold climate associated with grand minimums is becoming much clearer.

Watts Up With That?

Note: Between flaccid climate sensitivity, ENSO driving “the pause”, and now this, it looks like the upcoming IPCC AR5 report will be obsolete the day it is released.

From a Technical University of Denmark press release comes what looks to be a significant confirmation of Svensmark’s theory of temperature modulation on Earth by cosmic ray interactions. The process is that when there are more cosmic rays, they help create more microscopic cloud nuclei, which in turn form more clouds, which reflect more solar radiation back into space, making Earth cooler than what it normally might be. Conversely, less cosmic rays mean less cloud cover and a warmer planet as indicated here.  The sun’s magnetic field is said to deflect cosmic rays when its solar magnetic dynamo is more active, and right around the last solar max, we were at an 8000 year high, suggesting more deflected cosmic rays…

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