Kenneth Richards at No Tricks Zone
During 2017, 120 papers linking historical and modern climate change to variations in solar activity and its modulators (clouds, cosmic rays) have been published in scientific journals.
It has been increasingly established that low solar activity (fewer sunspots) and increased cloud cover (as modulated by cosmic rays) are highly associated with a cooling climate.
In recent years, the Earth has unfortunately left a period of very high solar activity, the Modern Grand Maximum. Periods of high solar activity correspond to multi-decadal- to centennial-scale warming.
Solar scientists are now increasingly forecasting a period of very low activity that will commence in the next few years (by around 2020 to 2025). This will lead to climate cooling, even Little Ice Age conditions.
Thirteen recently-published papers, seven new papers, forecasting global cooling are listed HERE: References to Dalton and Maunder Minimums.
A very good post, however, I think we are already in the beginning stages of the little ice age as temperatures east of the rocky mountains are well below average for this time of year and we are not even in the middle of winter. Watertown N.Y recorded a record braking temp on 12/28/2017 Thursday morning of -32 degrees f. with the wind chill of -40 degrees below zero. Mt. Washington in N.H. that same morning, recorded a record all time low wind chill ever of -89 degrees f. Again, that was a all time record for a wind chill on top of Mt. Washington. It has never gone that low at anytime during winter months on record. As I commented on a few years ago, we can get though a weak solar cycle with no cooling as the oceans take a while to cool. Now that we are at the end of solar cycle 24, cooling has started to commence and will continue until we get a strong solar cycle again. Wishing you a Happy New Year! We are living in interesting times.
Russ, I just heard another “extreme weather” interview, this time on KVMR with hydrogeologist Steve Baker. Mr Baker just made the naked claim as if from Mt Sinai, and presented neither evidence nor references to sources of such evidence. I would like to see such evidence of increases in the rates of various kinds of extreme weather from hurricanes, to blizzards, to extreme heat and extreme cold days. I think presenting such data to confirm or debunk extreme weather claims is just the kind of reporting that we expect out of this blog. We anticipate your response.
I will work on a series of posts on the extremes but will be posting them at Sierra Foothill Commentary a more locally target blog. The Next Grand Minimum is a more global issue. See https://sierrafoothillcommentary.com for the series launch.
Russ, Thank you for all the article links. What is your personal take on the probability of a “little ice age” 2020-2050 time frame?
( TRW 1967-1993, Redondo Beach )
I am guessing, but it is better than 50% and I would be comfortable with 60%. That could change as we get close to 2020.
Reblogged this on Climate- Science.