Fritz Vahrenholt and Frank Bosse have released their November solar activity report. The sun in November 2013: You’re going to have to add more antifreeze
This paper has been translated and edited by P Gosselin at the No Trick Zone. This paper has some interesting approaches for looking into the future temperatures on our planet.
The details and more graphics are HERE, the paper concludes:
The trend to colder winters here in Europe and elsewhere, all the way to China in the Far East and the east coast of the USA, has truly been robust over the last 10 years. From this we conclude that we hardly can anticipate warmer winters for the near future and that it may remain that way for a very long time should the solar relationship be confirmed. Therefore add more anti-freeze in the windscreen wiper reservoir of your car! Winter has arrived and likely it isn’t going to be a mild one!
There are most likely more Dalton like events on the horizon. Stay Tuned.
The Next Grand Minimum 
Russ, is there an explanation as to why the model’s sunspot activity has discontinuities at its minima, and the data shows a continuous and more smooth behavior around the real minima? This seems to be a fundamental flaw in the model which makes its other out-year predictions suspect until such a difference is explained away.
George,
In the paper author has this to say about the models:
The model predicts that the sun is entering a grand minimum, and the general shape of the model’s future multi-cycle pro- jections suggests that this minimum may persist for an ex- tended period of time.
I believe this model captures a fundamental relationship between a gravitational disturbance in the Sun’s magnetic field through the Tidal Torque process and a magnetic distur- bance in the Sun’s magnetic field through the Jovian planets.
I also believe this model describes a chaotic process where small changes in frequency and/or phase modulation parameters over time lead to large variations in individual solar cycle outcomes. Fortunately because the changes to the base frequencies and phasing occur slowly in terms of human life spans, we can make forecasts that may be useful.
=====
I am not that impressed with the performance of the model. I will have to give it more study.
The full paper is here: http://www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/1/117/2013/prp-1-117-2013.pdf
We may be dealing with something that has happened only once in the last 400 years and that was 400 years ago. It is an educated guess as to what the next 100 years will bring and about the only thing that is a sure thing is the fact it will be something we haven’t seen in our life time. Any models constructed will have little hard data to back them up and will be constructed on what we think we know about the sun. They could be spot on or could be another hockey stick and only time will tell.
It would be a sad irony to see skeptics of oracles like Mann put their faith in a different model.
Great post, Russ. Thanks very much for all the totally interesting information! Chillguy33
Bravo!
I have been studying the Tidal Force Planets (VEJ) and Solar Grand Cycles dictated by (U-N) and their impact on Earth’s climate cycles.
R. J. Salvador has done yeoman’s work in this regard.
I am afraid of 3 things.
The temperature is lower than the midevil warm period when the LIA started.
We have way more people to feed.
We are close to the end of the Halocene and due a Bond Event.
Russ, I can remember when you said, you would not see the cold drop in temperatures because the drop was not here yet. And you thought it would take to long for the drop to happen? Well, I have an very important link for you, and everyone to see. Just two hours ago NBC website has posted an all time record low for ANTARTICA -135.8 degrees!!!! Breaking the old record set back in 1983 which was the old record. But wait a minute, the article says the record was broken back in August of 2010 and then on July 31,2013 this year it almost broke the record again with the temperature bottoming out at -135.3 degrees!!! Here is the link http://www.nbcnews.com/science/not-thats-c-c-c-cold-antarctica-sets-record-135-2D11719427 So, I have to ask this question. When in recorded history has the old record temperature been broken almost twice in less than 3 years!!! And we are now at or past solar max!!! August 2010 we were still at minimum when the record was broke. This may mean we are going to brake more records here as we start to go back into solar minimum. And the drop could be even more steep as it would effect the ocean currents in the southern hemisphere as more ice grows more rapidly, and does not thaw back to average in the summer time. This could be the domino effect on the planet for both southern hemisphere and the northern hemisphere. And that is something to consider, as we do not know how really low did those temperatures really get during the Dolton minimum. Anthony
Yes, we do not really know how cold the Arctic and Antarctic was during the Dalton and Maunder, other then through the ice cores. It will be interesting to check if their is similar temperatures in the record.
Here is more on the lowest temps recorded: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/09/coldest-ever-temperature-recorded-on-earth-found-in-antarctica/
Russ, Thanks for the link. Here’s another link I think you will find interesting. Titled Newly discovered greenhouse gas 7,000 time more powerful than CO2′. http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/dec/10/new-greenhouse-gas-powerful-chemical-perfluorotributylamine Anthony
I remember reading that even Iceland was completely encased in sea ice at times during the LIA. Greenland got completely cut off which was the end of the Vikings. There is a very interesting bit of weather history at breadandbutterscience.com it covers 0-1900AD. Many crazy things occurred from floods to droughts and hail storms. Snow drifts all the way over the walls of Constantinople.
If this is the start of the next LIA our obesity and diabetes or diabesity problem is solved. Wheat free 4 months totally normal blood sugers down 30, blood pressures, down 30 high and low side, cholesterol normal and 45# GONE 20 TO GO. Read wheat belly and grain brain eye opening books.
Brrrrrrrr, its cold outside.