From the Times of India:
A recent paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research reports over the past 20 years there has been a steady decline in activity on the sun’s surface and interplanetary magnetic fields, indicated by a dramatic decline in the number of sunspots. Scientists and astronomers from Physical Research Laboratory in India and counterparts in China and Japan write the decline in solar activity could indicate Earth is heading for another “little ice age” or even a more extended period of low solar activity, a Maunder Minimum, by 2020. During the last Maunder Minimum, between 1645 and 1715 AD, the sun was almost completely spotless and Europe and much of Earth witnessed extremely harsh winter.
H/T to Climate Change Weekly
According to the West without Water, the paleoclimate records show increased climate variability during the Little Ice Age in the Southwest US. It was generally cooler and wetter, punctuated by episodes of drought, sometimes severe drought lasting for several years. If low sunspots produced a cool wet climate in the Southwest, including California the past, I think we should consider the possibility it will happen again. This is in conflict with the promotion of global warming being promoted by the Governor and the environmental wackos at CARB.
Russ, I now have information on the North Atlantic or AMO. According to this post, the North Atlantic is on the way shifting into it’s cooling faze. If you look at the graph chart on the page it will show the down cline in temperatures. This being the year 2016 that we are in, look’s like the temperatures are going to bottom out around the year of 2019 or 2020. The triple crown of cooling has begun. Triple crown meaning, 1. Weak Solar Cycle 2. Atlantic Ocean cooling and 3. Volcano Eruptions. We do not have data as to what the AMO was doing during the Dalton Minimum. It’s really going to be interesting on how this all is going happen all together. That’s it for now, here is the link 317532-North-Atlantic-Ocean-showing-signs-of-shifting-to-colder-temperatures
I wonder of some of the North Atlantic core samples would have some information on the state of the AMO during the Dalton Minimum? Could be an interesting place to look, assuming there are some core samples of the North Atlantic.
Russ, Here is another link as to ware the Atlantic temp’s are heading http://www.vencoreweather.com/blog/2016/4/28/215-pm-atlantic-ocean-showing-signs-of-a-significant-long-term-shift-in-temperatures-from-warm-to-cold
Thanks for the link to the AMO. I was going post on the implication, but Vencore has an excellent review. Again, thanks for sharing this important information.
Your welcome. Also came across this post from the No Tricks Zone. Bob Tisdale has a very good point as to ware the temperatures are going to be in the next 6 to 12 months from now as we come off this el Nino. Here is the link http://notrickszone.com/2016/04/06/global-sea-surface-temperatures-have-fallen-sharply-cooled-surprisingly-negative-global-temperature-anomaly-by-end-of-2016/#sthash.dRDMDT2o.dpbs
I use the following Sea Surface Temp Anomaly view (difference in ocean temperature from
daily average during years 1981-2011):
Last year there was a sighting of an Arctic Beluga Whale in Irish waters. This is not very common and just means that the water temperature of the coast of Norther Ireland was cool enough for this animal. http://www.thejournal.ie/beluga-ireland-2256243-Aug2015/
The relevant chart is umbral magnetic field.
Chart by Livingston and Penn:
I’m no expert, but the thinking as I understand it is that field strength has to exceed 1500 gauss to form a sunspot and the closer the umbral magnetic field gets to 1500 the fewer sunspots make the cut.
If the Umbral Magnetic Field had dropped to 1500 gauss like some people feared, the sun would look like a “1” ball without the number.
At 2000 gauss it is going to be like the current cycle and just stay very anemic from a sunspot standpoint. Unfortunately the field strength appears to have started down again. If it hits 1500 we will have a grand minimum that is both grand and minimum.
We are going to have both!
Reblogged this on Climate- Science.