Is It The Sun?

Jack Dini writing in the Canada Free Press:

We may be witnessing the sun’s last dying gasps before entering into a long slumber. The impact of that slumber on Earth’s climate remains the subject of growing scientific speculation. (1)

In 2008 William Livingston and Matthew Penn of the National Solar Observatory in Tucson, in a controversial paper that contradicted conventional wisdom and upset global warming theorists, predicted that sunspots could more or less disappear after 2015, possibly indicating the onset of another Little Ice Age. They stated, “The occurrence of prolonged periods with no sunspots is important to climate studies, since the Maunder Minimum was shown to correspond with the reduced average global temperatures on the Earth.” The Maunder Minimum lasted for approximately 70 years from about 1645 to 1715, and was marked by bitter cold, widespread crop failures, and severe human privation. (2)

There has been increasing evidence in recent years to support this supposition that global warming is linked with solar activity.

In 2011, three papers suggested the Earth could be heading for a ‘little ice age’ as solar activity drops once again. (3)

Solar effects could bring on little ice ages

Other research also confirmed that solar effects could bring on little ice ages. Sarah Ineson and her colleagues report that changes in the Sun’s emissions of ultraviolet radiation coincided with observed cold winters over southern Europe and Canada between 2008 and 2011. (4)

And Katja Matthes and colleagues report that simulations with a climate model using new observations of solar vulnerability suggests a substantial influence of the Sun on the winter climate in the Northern Hemisphere. (5)

A 2014 paper by Chinese scientists reported the impact of carbon dioxide on climate change may have been overstated with solar activity giving a better explanation of changes in the Earth’s temperature. The paper found ‘a high correlation between solar activity and the Earth’s averaged surface temperature over centuries,’ suggesting that climate change is intimately linked with solar cycles rather than human activity. Indeed, the study says that the ‘modern maximum’ – a peak in solar activity that lasted much of the last century corresponds very well with an increase in global temperatures. (6)

Russian scientists foresee an even more dramatic situation. They predict that a little ice age will begin in 2014. (7)

In their book, The Neglected Sun, authors Fritz Vahrenholt and Sebastian Luning pose that temperatures could be two-tenths of a degree lower by 2030 as a result of an anemic sun, which would mean warming getting postponed far into the future.

Note that these reports are from researchers around the world.

The rest of the article is HERE with the references.



6 thoughts on “Is It The Sun?

  1. Anthony j. Mengotto August 8, 2014 / 7:03 pm

    Russ, According to this sunspot cycle chart, we have had 7 cycles in a row of hot sun sunspot cycles if you include cycle 20 shown here So the answer to the question is yes. Cycle 24 is not even close to cycle 20 shown here Based on this chart, I do expect cooling will happen more deeper than the 1970’s once we are at minimum of cycle 24 going into cycle 25. The solar wind cannot even keep the Jetstream up to the north long enough for us to have a hot summer this year. I know it’s not the volcano’s, or the ocean’s cooling this time around. As far as this cool summer, there where some nights in July, and now August wear we did not have to use the a/c. The only time I remember this happening was back in the 1970’s as I’ve lived in New Jersey all of my life, and know what a normal summer is, or what it used to be. With the temperature not reaching the 90’s this month of August, and temperatures trying to reach the low to mid 80’s during the day, ocean cooling will begin this year on the northern Atlantic side.

    • Russ Steele August 8, 2014 / 7:16 pm

      Thanks for the chart links. I agree, we will see more cold than we did in the 1970s, when we were living in Omaha NE.

    • Russ Steele August 10, 2014 / 9:24 am

      Please do not post naked links. Give us your prospective on why this is an important link.

  2. rishrac August 15, 2014 / 11:11 pm

    It has also been a cool summer here in Colorado. I do have an interesting observation about this summer. The day time high will reach 80 F, but for all of 15 minutes. It will take most of the day to get there, then back in the low 60’s or even 50’s. During a normal summer, it will be quite a bit warmer, and the temp starts out warm and quickly warms during the morning hours, reaches near the high and stays there, falling off slowly at night. We actually turned on the heat one day in July.
    Two things you didn’t need in NJ during the 70’s, air conditioning and a swimming pool.

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