Russ Steele
Long Range Weather is listed in the links above. Here is an interesting look at current climate changes (my emphasis added):
By Climatologist Cliff Harris
According to recent studies by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature team of scientists at the University of California at Berkeley, our current global temperatures “are all over the map.”
The scientist’s graphs following an exhaustive two-year study show that temperatures since the last cycle of global warming ended in the late 1990s have been “relatively stable.”
While wide fluctuations in both land and sea-surface water temperatures have occurred on a global scale in the past 13-plus years since 1998, both northern Europe and much of the U.S. north of I-80 have seen “substantial cooling and a huge increase in winter snowfall that has led to widespread spring flooding.” The spring seasons have been “unusually chilly and wet” with a record number of tornadoes sighted last spring along the violent ‘clashline’ points between I-80 and I-70 in the south-central U.S.
ooo
Even with tens of thousands of weather stations worldwide, most of the Earth’s surface is not being monitored. And, some stations are more reliable than others, especially during these lean times of economic recession.
ooo
Climate researchers at the University of Washington in Seattle were recently asked about future climate patterns of the Pacific Northwest.
They said that their climate models are predicting “increasing precipitation in the next decade in the northern latitudes.” This should mean more snowy winter seasons across the Inland Empire and other regions of the U.S. near the Canadian border.
As far as temperatures are concerned, the University of Washington scientists say, “there’s a tremendous amount of uncertainty” in their models, both locally and globally.
European, Russian and Japanese climate scientists are each predicting “an increase in global cooling and expanding glaciers worldwide by 2014.”
My climatological opinion is that we’re entering a much cooler cycle with snowy winters already becoming commonplace. The spring seasons will continue to be chilly and wet. The shorter summers will be warm, but not hot, and very dry with little precipitation and high fire danger levels.
Bob Tisdale has and interesting post on the global ocean sea surface temperatures. http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2011/11/19/17-year-and-30-year-trends-in-sea-surface-temperature-anomalies-the-differences-between-observed-and-ipcc-ar4-climate-models/#more-697
He concludes that hind-casts from the global circulation models (climate models) do a terrible job of reproducing the global sea surface temperatures of the last 110 years. Since regional weather is often a result of the ocean setups affect on the jet stream and storm paths, he basically is indicating that any similarity between the weather experienced and the weather GCM’s predict is purely coincidental such as when we experienced a warm phase PDO in the last 25 years of the 20th century. Given that we just started what looks to be a 25 years cycle of ocean SST cooling, Cliff Harris’s conclusions look to be right on the money at least for the next decade or two.
You referred to a number of sources for statements attributed to others made by you in this article. Links or quotations from the actual sources would add weight to your article and make it more useful as a tool to convince people in and out of political office. Please send me such a research paper, if you have one. I can certainly use it in my effort to convince those who are running for political office that climate change/global warming is a hoax.
John,
Sorry, I did not write text in italics, that was written by a long range weather forecaster at the link at the bottom of the article. You might check with them. You will find what you are lookiing for in the Links box above, especially Watts Up With That.