Which produces the most conflict, a warm world or a cold world?

Russ Steele

I have written about Dr Wheeler’s Drought clock research who found that cold periods resulted in the most civil conflict, more details here.  Now Dr. Bruno Tertrais takes a look at The Climate Wars Myth, which is being promoted by Columbia University, more details here.

Dr Tertrais:

History shows that ‘‘warm’’ periods are more peaceful than ‘‘cold’’ ones.

What History Teaches Us

 Since the dawn of civilization, warmer eras have meant fewer wars. The reason is simple: all things being equal, a colder climate meant reduced crops, more famine and instability. Research by climate historians shows a clear correlation between increased warfare and cold periods. They are particularly clear in Asia and Europe, as well as in Africa.

Interestingly, the correlation has been diminishing since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution: as societies modernize, they become less dependent on local agricultural output.

We are going to have an opportunity to test the strength of global agricultural output to provide the needed food in a cooler world.

You can read the full paper here.

H/T to Watts Up With That

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About Russ Steele

Freelance writer and climate change blogger. Russ spent twenty years in the Air Force as a navigator specializing in electronics warfare and digital systems. After his service he was employed for sixteen years as concept developer for TRW, an aerospace and automotive company, and then was CEO of a non-profit Internet provider for 18 months. Russ's articles have appeared in Comstock's Business, Capitol Journal, Trailer Life, Monitoring Times, and Idaho Magazine.
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